Propel Morning Briefing Mast HeadUCC Coffee Banner  
Propel Morning Briefing Mast Head Propel's LinkedIn LinkPaul's Twitter Link Paul's X Link

Monzo Banner
Morning Briefing for pub, restaurant and food wervice operators

Wed 18th Mar 2026 - Update: Shepherd Neame results, Caring nears £1.3bn sale of empire, Leon
Shepherd Neame – ‘trading has remained resilient but becoming more seasonal and more reliant on occasions’, undergoes refinancing: South east brewer and retailer Shepherd Neame has said trading has remained resilient but becoming “more seasonal and more reliant on occasions”. The company said it has refinanced its bank debt “on improved terms”, entering into a new £15.0m term loan facility, and a revolving credit facility (RCF) for £30.0m. The existing two tranches of long-term fixed rate private placement debt totalling £55.0m remain unaffected. Total debt facilities are now £100.0m, with the RCF and term loan on a three-year term, with further extension options. For the 37 weeks to 14 March 2026, retail like-for-like sales were up 4.4% compared with the previous year. Like-for-like tenanted pub income for the 35 weeks to 28 February 2026 was up 3.0% compared with the year before. For the 37 weeks to 14 March 2026, total beer volume was down 6.7% versus the previous year. Own beer volume was down 11.3% versus the year before. The company stated: “Our pub business is in good shape and continues to benefit from strong demand, a good offering, a well invested pub portfolio, great training programmes, some excellent recent developments, and a good pipeline of future opportunities. The pubs team have done an excellent job at absorbing the higher labour costs and delivering good divisional profit growth in our retail pubs. The brewing and brands business is much more challenging. The team are addressing these issues head on and making good progress in our heartland. The growth in pubs is not yet enough to combat the decline in brewing and brands; hence the overall business is level on the prior year. We said previously that it would take 18 months to absorb the higher costs of employment and logistics. By the fourth quarter of 2026, we will annualise these cost increases. The business rates reduction and national living wage increases more closely aligned with CPI are encouraging factors, as are the improved terms, following our refinancing. We had expected the cost outlook to be more benign, but some caution is naturally warranted given the unpredictable situation in the Middle East; it would be premature to say more. The trade is becoming more seasonal and more reliant on occasions, and we look forward to a strong spring and summer. The combination of resilient demand and some easing of cost pressures give us cause for optimism. Our robust, asset-backed and cash-generative business model provides good opportunities for allocating our capital to investment in the business to drive higher returns for shareholders.” It comes as the company reported revenue for the 26 weeks ending 27 December 2025 was down slightly to £84.7m from £85.0m the year before, with increased revenue in its pub estate offset by a decline in the brewing and brands division. Statutory profit before tax grew 2.7% to £4.4m from £4.3m. Total retail sales were up 0.1% to £42.3m. Retail like-for-like sales were up 4.5% on last year. Retail like-for-like sales inside the M25 were up 11.2% and outside the M25 by 1.4%. For the 26 weeks, like-for-like drink sales were up 5.6%, like-for-like food sales were up 4.3% and like-for-like accommodation were down 3%. Like-for-like tenanted pub income was up 3.1% on the previous year. Divisional revenue in tenanted pubs was up 4.8% to 19.0m from £18.4m and operating profit was £6.4m compared with £6.6m the year before. Revenue in the brewing and brands division reduced 4.7% to £22.7m (2025: £23.8m), and divisional underlying operating profit was £0.3m (2025: £0.6m). Chief executive Jonathan Neame said: “Demand has remained resilient, with a further exceptional performance from our London pubs, and a good trading performance in our tenanted estate. Our strong pub trading and some easing of cost pressures gives us cause for optimism going forward, but some caution is naturally warranted given the situation in the Middle East.” The company operates 285 pubs, of which 223 are tenanted or leased, 60 managed and two are held as investment properties under commercial free of tie leases.

Premium Club subscribers to receive next Who’s Who of UK Hospitality on Friday, featuring 67 new companies and 172 updated entries: The next Who’s Who of UK Hospitality will feature 67 new companies and 172 updated entries when it is released to Premium Club subscribers on Friday (20 March), at midday. The database now features 1,493 companies, and this month’s edition includes more than 350,000 words of content. The companies, listed in alphabetical order, will have their most recent developments reported as well as broader information around Ebitda, plans and trading style available. The database merges Companies House information, interviews and other public information to provide an easy to reference and exhaustive guide to the sector. Premium Club subscribers also receive access to five other databases: the Turnover & Profits Blue Book, the Multi-Site Database, the New Openings Database, the UK Food and Beverage Franchisor Database and the UK Food and Beverage Franchisee Database. All Premium Club subscribers will be offered a 20% discount on tickets to Propel paid-for events and discounts on specialist sector reports. Operators that are Premium Club subscribers are also able to send up to four members of staff to each of our four Multi-Club Conferences for free. Premium Club subscribers receive their daily Propel Info newsletter 11 hours earlier than standard subscribers, at 7pm the evening before. They also receive videos of presentations at eight Propel conference events two weeks after they are held. This represents around 100 videos of industry insight over the course of the year. Premium Club subscribers also receive exclusive opinion columns every Friday at 5pm, which include the thoughts of Propel chief operating officer – editorial, Mark Wingett, and a host of industry leaders from across the sector. A Premium Club subscription costs an annual sum of £495 plus VAT for operators and £595 plus VAT for suppliers. Companies can now have an unlimited number of people receive access to Premium Club for a year for £995 plus VAT – whether they are an operator or supplier. Email kai.kirkman@propelinfo.com today to sign up.
 
Richard Caring nearing £1.3bn sale of Ivy and Annabel’s hospitality empire: Serial sector investor Richard Caring is said to be closing in on a deal to sell the bulk of his London hospitality empire – which includes the Ivy restaurant brand and the Annabel’s members’ club– in a deal worth more than £1bn. Sky News reported that Caring is homing in on a transaction with Abu Dhabi’s International Holding Company (IHC), which is controlled by the Abu Dhabi royal Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed al-Nahyan. One source said it could value Caring’s empire at up to £1.3bn, with payments being made by IHC in a number of stages over a multi-year period depending on the performance of the business. Caring’s Mayfair venues also include the members’ club George and Harry’s Bar. Some of Caring’s assets are owned by a company in which Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim bin Jaber al-Thani, the former Qatari prime minister, holds a large minority stake. It was first reported in late 2023 that Caring was working with bankers at HSBC on a potential sale of The Ivy Collection. Last May, the Financial Times reported those deal discussions had expanded to include his members’ clubs, and that IHC was in advanced talks about a deal. The Ivy Collection operates circa 50 sites across the UK and Ireland. For the year ending 5 January 2025, The Ivy Collection reported turnover increased to a record £327,126,000 compared with £314,744,000 the year before. This included £104,000 in franchise income compared with £143,000 the previous year. Adjusted Ebitda was up to £61,869,000 from £57,484,000 the year before. Last month, Propel revealed that Annabel’s reported turnover increased to £55,581,000 for the year ending 5 January 2025 compared with £52,275,000 the year before. Of the 2025 turnover, £25,721,000 came from food and beverage sales (2023: £25,535,000), £25,804,000 from membership income (2023: £23,400,000) and £4,056,000 from registration income (2023: £3,740,000). Adjusted Ebitda was up to a record £16,867,000 from £11,502,000 the previous year. Latest available accounts show Caprice Holdings, Caring’s high-end restaurant business that operates ten sites across the UK, reported revenue increased to a record £97,066,000 for the year ending 31 December 2023 compared with £74,364,000 the year before. The operator of Scott’s and Sexy Fish saw adjusted Ebitda fall to £10,057,000 from £12,253,000 the previous year as administrative overheads increased by almost £25m to £81,125,000.

John Vincent – ‘Leon’s recovery is going to plan’, ‘I’ve now got the bedrock capability back again’: John Vincent, who bought back Leon, the naturally fast-food brand, last October, has said that the recovery of the business is “going to plan” and that he now has got the “bedrock capability back again, I can introduce [good] food back into the restaurants”. The business is currently undergoing a company voluntary arrangement to help accelerate the restructuring of the business and reduce its number of loss-making sites. Vincent told The Times he had a few surprises when he took back control of Leon, especially “how quickly a corporate owner, that doesn’t have a founder’s mentality, could undermine the culture of a business that formerly did have a founder”. He was shocked to realise how much needed to be spent on “the very fabric of the restaurants”, such as air conditioning not working, or plumbing that had been “neglected for three years”. Vincent is upbeat about Leon’s prospects for recovery. “It’s actually going to plan, but the customer doesn’t see it yet, like laying bricks in a swamp,” he said. “Now I’ve got the bedrock capability back again, I can introduce [good] food back into the restaurants.” The brand is pivoting away from its old “if God did fast food” to a more grounded philosophy of what he describes as “Earthy’s favourite fast food”. This includes a focus on gut health, probiotics and food that “springs from the soil”. Vincent’s plan is to “do better with every single menu item” and produce food people “get really excited by” so they are willing to pay 3% or 4% more. He also plans to “optimise labour”, looking for inefficiencies in existing restaurants. Another plan is to recruit workers from the military and entertainment industry. “They’re both disciplined. To be an entertainer or a dancer, you’ve actually got to be bloody disciplined. It’s just like the army. They’re both big-hearted. There’s a lot of big-hearted people in the military, there’s a lot of big-hearted people in entertainment,” Vincent said. Moving forward, Vincent said he was going to place the whole strategy and financials online because “there is nothing to hide. We make so little money anyway.” Vincent will be among the speakers at the first Propel Multi-Club Conference of 2026, which is open for bookings. Vincent will talk about his return to the healthy-eating fast-food brand, what he found when he returned, the changes he has since made, the results, what comes next and his hopes and fears for the wider hospitality sector. The conference takes place on Wednesday, 25 March, at Park Plaza Victoria London. For the full speaker schedule, click here. Operators can book up to three free places per company while Premium subscribers who are operators can book up to four free places. To book, email kai.kirkman@propelinfo.com.

Return to Archive Click Here to Return to the Archive Listing
 
Punch Taverns Link
Propel Premium
 
Square Banner
 
Tevalis Banner
 
Box Kitchen Banner
 
Accurise Banner
 
Pepper Banner
 
HT360 Banner
 
Nory Banner
 
Zero Carbon Forum Banner
 
Tenzo Banner
 
Pepper Banner
 
Harri Banner
 
Polaris Banner
 
Contract Furniture Group Banner
 
TiPJAR Banner
 
125 Banner
 
Propel Banner
 
Growth Kitchen Banner
 
Purple Story Banner
 
HGEM Banner
 
Sona Banner
 
Kurve Banner
 
Zero Carbon Forum Banner
 
Bums on Seats Group Banner
 
Startle Banner
 
HT360 Footer